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Spend any time on industry blogs or social network discussion forums… and you’ll feel the industry’s pain. People with $100K dollar salaries are being released for people willing to work for $70K… People with 15 -20 years (or even more) in the industry are being overlooked for those with just 5 (or even less)… and everyone’s weighing in on whether or not an MBA even holds value any more. 
 
The possible “sweet” silver lining in this “bitter-sweet” tale is that the churning over of personnel for lower cost (and experienced) candidates is at least creating some opportunity for those who smartly match what the banks are looking for. In general, the pool of applicants is so large at the moment, that direct experience is what tops the list in recruiters’ selection for any given position… Unfortunately, this means that even for the traditional “entry-level” analyst position at an investment bank, candidates who already have experience in that position are the only pool of candidates which are being considered… So, unless you’re well networked and highly leveraged, as far as the big bulge bracket banks are concerned… you are “green” and need not apply.
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Cash Bonuses as part of an employee’s compensation structure have fallen under great media and political scrutiny since the collapse of the financial sector. However, it was not the existence of bonuses that caused the collapse… The bonus is a tool… nothing more. In fact, when it comes to motivating individuals to perform, especially in the banking industry, the bonus is the hammer that works.
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So, with the US government cracking down on banking industry income, where might one look to shift their efforts for unrestricted rewards? My bet is that you will see top talent looking to drop their “capped” posts at the troubling banks and reposition themselves in Private Equity firms abroad.
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Banks seem to have hit bottom and posted a healthy rebound. Word on the street is that the worst is behind us, banks are out of trouble, and we should now be bullish on financials (banks). After all, the KBW Bank Index is up nearly 150% since its March low, Bank of America has bounced a whopping 450% in the same time period and, as such, Ben Bernanke has been taking a seemingly well deserved victory tour for having saved our banking system and economy. However, if the last year has taught us anything, it should be to look beyond the surface. In short, are banks now really a safe bet?
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M&A activity is at a new low, bigger government, taxes, interest rates, and inflation are on the horizon, and apparently in a couple billion years the Earth might collide with Mercury… So, why should you be happy? Because we know what’s coming…
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